All in Sports Fantasy Advice
Week 16 - Football Breakdown and Rankings
It’s Christmas week and also the second or final round of your playoffs. That means two things. One, we’re all excited for the gift giving and fun we’ll have Saturday. Two, you’re either happy and excited for your Fantasy team’s possible win or ticked off and disappointed from your chance already being over. Hopefully, you’re still in it and will have a weekend full of enjoyment – Fantasy win or not.
In line with the Christmas spirit, I broke down a Stock Up and Down report, Christmas TV Special style found at www.RotoExperts.com. You can see it there along with plenty of other tips and advice to help you win.
Enjoy, good luck, and if you’re wondering, a iPad, 3DTV, or date with recently single Scarlett Johansson are on my list for desired gifts.
Settling Up Week 15
Top Pair (players who guaranteed a good week)
Michael Vick – Do you realize that in the beginning of the fourth quarter, Jimmy Clausen had more Fantasy points? That was before Vick went crazy leading one of the most impressive comebacks ever. He finished with another chart-topping stat line with four total TDs (three passing), 242 passing yards, and 130 yards rushing. Apologies to anyone who had to face him last week (Giants included).
Ray Rice – Welcome back Ray Rice. This was the type of game we expect from a Top 5 pick. Rice tore through the Saints defense on his way to 233 total yards and two TDs. The best part was the TDs. He had just three coming in and nearly equaled that total in one game.
Vincent Jackson – So much for being hurt. So much for not caring. So much for game rust, not being in sync with Philip Rivers or giving less than 100% effort. Hopefully for you, after Malcom Floyd was ruled out, you plugged Jackson in your lineup. By the comments I’ve seen, more than not left him benched though as VJax abused the 49ers to the tune of 112 yards and three TDs.
River Rat (players who surprised everyone)
Rex Grossman – Hold up, Rex Grossman was the second highest scoring QB? I know you can’t tell, but I just sat here mouth agape for a few minutes before I started typing again…I still can’t believe it. It’s nearly guaranteed the effort went to waste in Fantasy leagues as no one bothered starting him or even likely picked him up. Yet, everyone wishes they had because 322 yards and four TDs is a terrific performance.
Cedric Benson – There’s the Cedric Benson from 2009. He showed glimpses of the 2009 campaign that made everyone believe he was finally worthy of a RB1 tag this year. However, they have come too far and few between. Owners who were stuck riding Benson out were lucky enough to receive a 150-yard and one TD performance just when they needed it.
Mario Manningham – It’s quite possible Manningham could be in the perfect position alongside Hakeem Nicks. While coverage was focused on Nicks (who still had a good game), Manningham was able to break free many times totaling eight catches, 113 yards and two TDs. It’s good news and bad as Manningham could have a great future, while Steve Smith could see his days in New York slipping away.
Gut Shot (players who let everyone down)
Sam Bradford – Hopefully, you heeded the advice already and haven’t been relying on Bradford for your QB option. The game against Kansas City now marks three straight games without a TD pass. In addition, he failed to reach 200 yards passing in two of those games. He may have a ton of talent, but it’s not translating to Fantasy just yet.
Arian Foster – People kept waiting for the slipper to drop, and what a terrible time for it to happen. Foster put in his worst performance on the season with just 15 yards on 11 carries. He managed to prevent a one-point day by catching enough passes to keep him from being a total waste. Nevertheless, it didn’t lessen the sting owners felt in their playoffs from their No. 1 back.
Maurice Jones-Drew – Staying with the thought of worst possible timing, hello MJD! Six straight 100+yard performances with Indy on tap, and he busts. The Colts are one of the worst teams in the league against the run setting the stage for MJD to tie the record for consecutive 100-yard games. Too bad for him and owners everywhere that he decided to call this one in.
What’s the Deal for Week 16?
All In (players I’m high on)
Matt Schaub – You can’t get much hotter than Matt Schaub. Okay, well there’s Michael Vick, but he’s like planet Mercury hot right now. Over the past three games, Schaub has thrown for over 300 yards to go with two or more TDs in each. Denver has one of the worst pass defenses in the league meaning the fire will keep burning.
Eli Manning – After two rough weeks, Manning threw four TDs against a strong defense – albeit in a disappointing loss. Following the game, Eli called his first ever players-only meeting. It’s about time he took that step. Look for Eli to step it up again in Green Bay, especially now that he and Nicks are back together.
Tim Tebow – No, I’m not kidding. If you watched last week’s game, you saw that Tebow is playing just as he did at Florida, and that means rushing attempts and yards. In case you forgot, Houston can’t stop anyone on defense setting Tebow up for another strong day and a good chance at multiple scores. Lastly, I’m not suggesting benching Joe Flacco, Drew Brees or even David Garrard for him, but if you owned Matt Cassel, Kyle Orton, etc., you could do much worse.
Arian Foster – It’s bounce-back time for Foster. Unfortunately, after last week’s stinker, many of his owners are out of contention now. If you managed to survive, rest assured it won’t happen again as Denver gives up the most points to RBs by far.
Ryan Torain – Yet another terrific matchup situation. Torain should have no problem putting up big numbers against the Jaguars. The only tough part is trying to silence that nagging thought about Mike Shanahan possibly riding Keiland Williams all game instead because he woke up on the left side of the bed this week.
Maurice Jones-Drew – Time to get another 100-yard game streak going…although with two games left, it’s a little late. Nevertheless, the Redskins allow 134 yards rushing per game. It would be shocking if Jones-Drew doesn’t find his way back to the century mark.
Larry Fitzgerald (Ace in the Hole) – As bad as they are, the Panthers are still one of the best teams against the pass. Fitzgerald ignored that fact as he totaled 125 yards on nine catches with John Skelton at QB. Now, Arizona gets Dallas at home, a team that cannot stop WRs in general, let alone one like Fitz.
Marques Colston – It’s tough to believe, but there is a consistent WR option in New Orleans. Colston has six or more points in eight straight games with six double-digit totals and seven TDs. Atlanta is strong against the run, but rather weak against the pass, and Brees will look to upset the Falcons in Atlanta to keep division hopes alive.
Pierre Garcon – We saw what happened when Austin Collie was out the last time, and Garcon was in sync with Peyton Manning. Now that Collie is on the IR, Garcon has the No. 2 role locked in and will be a valuable option with great potential.
Jason Witten – The two best things to happen to Witten were both losses. He lost his starting QB and head coach. With Jon Kitna at quarterback and Jason Garrett coaching, Witten has exploded on the field. Over the past three games, he has 22 receptions, 251 yards and four TDs. Now, he goes up against Arizona this Sunday…the fun will continue.
Muck ‘Em (players I’m down on)
Jason Campbell – He’ll put together a strong game here and there, but more often than not, Campbell will let you down. It’s not the time of year to get cute with your choices (outside of Tebow) as Campbell can’t be trusted for more than one TD against a strong Colts defense.
Alex Smith (The Flop) – Let’s put it this way, I’d start John Skelton against Dallas before using Alex Smith. At least Skelton has the potential in that matchup to throw multiple TDs. St. Louis has a strong defense under Spagnuolo, and Smith has more bad games than good. Find someone else for your QB.
Mark Sanchez – The Bears have only given up 12 passing TDs on the year. Sanchez only has 16 total and zero in his past three games. Additionally, his highest yardage total over the past four weeks is 216 against Miami. The performance just doesn’t match the New York hype.
LaDainian Tomlinson – Just in case you need the reminder from weeks ago and likely again somewhere in between, Tomlinson is done. His point totals from the past four weeks are five, five, four, and four. The Bears only allow 14.9 points per game to RBs, and LDT will not see a large portion of that number.
Saints RBs – Who’s going to get the carries? Who knows? Anyone have a four-sided coin? Even if we knew, the Falcons are the sixth best team against the run and allow the fifth most points to receivers. It’s obvious where the game plan will focus for New Orleans.
Mike Tolbert/Ryan Mathews – Speaking of not knowing who will see opportunities, the Chargers are in the same boat. Tolbert and Mathews have the exact same amount of carries the past two weeks. You can try to hope Tolbert continues to reach the end zone. However, that’s a risk not worth taking with a possible championship on the line.
Johnny Knox – In a matchup between the Jets’ secondary and Jay Cutler, who do you think will prevail? Exactly. After two miserable games, Knox performed well against Minnesota, but the Vikings are thin in the secondary with rookies and journeymen. That’s a stark contrast to Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie.
Chad Ochocinco – Normally, with Terrell Owens done for the year, Ocho’s value would improve. However, he’s banged up and has a matchup against a terrific Chargers secondary. When you add those factors to Ocho talking about not being back in 2011, it’s clear he’s likely checked out, as should you.
Steve Smith – Speaking of checking out, Smith has his house on the market, but he says it’s just to cut costs with a second child on the way. Last time I checked, the cost of a child for a multi-millionaire did not carry the same budget constraints as it does for us. In any case, Smith has not topped six Fantasy points since Week 2 and faces the Steelers on the road this week. Maybe he can better spend his time shopping the Pittsburgh housing market.
Brandon Pettigrew – Coming out of Week 12, Pettigrew was one of the most consistent tight ends and in the Top 10. Since then, he has only six Fantasy points and has been left out of the Lions’ offense. Miami is one of the stingiest teams for opposing TEs meaning things won’t be better this week.
Rank - Player - Team ( Opp )
Rank - Player - Team ( Opp )
1 - Arian Foster - HOU ( @ DEN )
2 - Darren McFadden - OAK ( IND )
3 - Maurice Jones-Drew - JAC ( WAS )
4 - Chris Johnson - TEN ( @ KC )
5 - Rashard Mendenhall - PIT ( CAR )
6 - Adrian Peterson - MIN ( @ PHI )
7 - Jamaal Charles - KC ( TEN )
8 - Ray Rice - BAL ( @ CLE )
9 - Michael Turner - ATL ( NO )
10 - Steven Jackson - STL ( SF )
11 - LeSean McCoy - PHI ( MIN )
12 - Peyton Hillis - CLE ( BAL )
13 - BenJarvus Green-Ellis - NE ( @ BUF )
14 - Knowshon Moreno - DEN ( HOU )
15 - LeGarrette Blount - TB ( SEA )
16 - Ryan Torain - WAS ( @ JAC )
17 - Ahmad Bradshaw - NYG ( @ GB )
18 - Cedric Benson - CIN ( SD )
19 - Matt Forte - CHI ( NYJ )
20 - Mike Tolbert - SD ( @ CIN )
21 - Fred Jackson - BUF ( NE )
22 - Jonathan Stewart - CAR ( @ PIT )
23 - Donald Brown - IND ( @ OAK )
24 - Thomas Jones - KC ( TEN )
25 - Felix Jones - DAL ( @ ARZ )
26 - Tim Hightower - ARZ ( DAL )
27 - Tashard Choice - DAL ( @ ARZ )
28 - Ronnie Brown - MIA ( DET )
29 - Brandon Jacobs - NYG ( @ GB )
30 - Marshawn Lynch - SEA ( @ TB )
31 - Brian Westbrook - SF ( @ STL )
32 - Danny Woodhead - NE ( @ BUF )
33 - Ryan Mathews - SD ( @ CIN )
34 - Pierre Thomas - NO ( @ ATL )
35 - LaDainian Tomlinson - NYJ ( @ CHI )
36 - Brandon Jackson - GB ( NYG )
37 - Maurice Morris - DET ( @ MIA )
38 - Ricky Williams - MIA ( DET )
39 - Shonn Greene - NYJ ( @ CHI )
40 - Chris Ivory - NO ( @ ATL )
41 - Michael Bush - OAK ( IND )
42 - Mike Goodson - CAR ( @ PIT )
43 - Rashad Jennings - JAC ( WAS )
44 - Derrick Ward - HOU ( @ DEN )
45 - Jahvid Best - DET ( @ MIA )
46 - Anthony Dixon - SF ( @ STL )
47 - Reggie Bush - NO ( @ ATL )
48 - Toby Gerhart - MIN ( @ PHI )
49 - Beanie Wells - ARZ ( DAL )
50 - Darren Sproles - SD ( @ CIN )
Rank - Player - Team ( Opp )
1 - Andre Johnson - HOU ( @ DEN )
2 - Calvin Johnson - DET ( @ MIA )
3 - Roddy White - ATL ( NO )
4 - Greg Jennings - GB ( NYG )
5 - Reggie Wayne - IND ( @ OAK )
6 - Larry Fitzgerald - ARZ ( DAL )
7 - Marques Colston - NO ( @ ATL )
8 - Hakeem Nicks - NYG ( @ GB )
9 - Vincent Jackson - SD ( @ CIN )
10 - DeSean Jackson - PHI ( MIN )
11 - Jeremy Maclin - PHI ( MIN )
12 - Brandon Marshall - MIA ( DET )
13 - Mike Williams - TB ( SEA )
14 - Kenny Britt - TEN ( @ KC )
15 - Miles Austin - DAL ( @ ARZ )
16 - Wes Welker - NE ( @ BUF )
17 - Santana Moss - WAS ( @ JAC )
18 - Brandon Lloyd - DEN ( HOU )
19 - Dwayne Bowe - KC ( TEN )
20 - Mike Wallace - PIT ( CAR )
21 - Santonio Holmes - NYJ ( @ CHI )
22 - Steve Johnson - BUF ( NE )
23 - Pierre Garcon - IND ( @ OAK )
24 - Deion Branch - NE ( @ BUF )
25 - Anquan Boldin - BAL ( @ CLE )
26 - Mike Sims-Walker - JAC ( WAS )
27 - Mario Manningham - NYG ( @ GB )
28 - Mike Williams - SEA ( @ TB )
29 - Malcom Floyd - SD ( @ CIN )
30 - Hines Ward - PIT ( CAR )
31 - Sidney Rice - MIN ( @ PHI )
32 - Percy Harvin - MIN ( @ PHI )
33 - Chad Ochocinco - CIN ( SD )
34 - Lance Moore - NO ( @ ATL )
35 - Derrick Mason - BAL ( @ CLE )
36 - Braylon Edwards - NYJ ( @ CHI )
37 - Johnny Knox - CHI ( NYJ )
38 - Michael Crabtree - SF ( @ STL )
39 - Donald Driver - GB ( NYG )
40 - Anthony Armstrong - WAS ( @ JAC )
41 - Danny Woodhead - NE ( @ BUF )
42 - Davone Bess - MIA ( DET )
43 - James Jones - GB ( NYG )
44 - Steve Smith - CAR ( @ PIT )
45 - Mike Thomas - JAC ( WAS )
46 - Blair White - IND ( @ OAK )
47 - Steve Breaston - ARZ ( DAL )
48 - Danny Amendola - STL ( SF )
49 - David Nelson - BUF ( NE )
50 - Robert Meachem - NO ( @ ATL )
Rank - Player - Team ( Opp )
1 - Jason Witten - DAL ( @ ARZ )
2 - Vernon Davis - SF ( @ STL )
3 - Jacob Tamme - IND ( @ OAK )
4 - Marcedes Lewis - JAC ( WAS )
5 - Tony Gonzalez - ATL ( NO )
6 - Chris Cooley - WAS ( @ JAC )
7 - Owen Daniels - HOU ( @ DEN )
8 - Kevin Boss - NYG ( @ GB )
9 - Kellen Winslow - TB ( SEA )
10 - Zach Miller - OAK ( IND )
11 - Aaron Hernandez - NE ( @ BUF )
12 - Brent Celek - PHI ( MIN )
13 - Brandon Pettigrew - DET ( @ MIA )
14 - Rob Gronkowski - NE ( @ BUF )
15 - Benjamin Watson - CLE ( BAL )
16 - Dustin Keller - NYJ ( @ CHI )
17 - Visanthe Shiancoe - MIN ( @ PHI )
18 - Jimmy Graham - NO ( @ ATL )
19 - Greg Olsen - CHI ( NYJ )
20 - Heath Miller - PIT ( CAR )
Rank - Player - Team ( Opp )
1 - David Akers - PHI ( MIN )
2 - Sebastian Janikowski - OAK ( IND )
3 - Matt Bryant - ATL ( NO )
4 - Nate Kaeding - SD ( @ CIN )
5 - Rob Bironas - TEN ( @ KC )
6 - Adam Vinatieri - IND ( @ OAK )
7 - Shayne Graham - NE ( @ BUF )
8 - Garrett Hartley - NO ( @ ATL )
9 - Neil Rackers - HOU ( @ DEN )
10 - Lawrence Tynes - NYG ( @ GB )
11 - Jay Feely - ARZ ( DAL )
12 - Matt Prater - DEN ( HOU )
13 - Robbie Gould - CHI ( NYJ )
14 - Mason Crosby - GB ( NYG )
15 - Dan Carpenter - MIA ( DET )
16 - Billy Cundiff - BAL ( @ CLE )
17 - David Buehler - DAL ( @ ARZ )
18 - Nick Folk - NYJ ( @ CHI )
19 - Ryan Longwell - MIN ( @ PHI )
20 - Josh Brown - STL ( SF )